Two Reasons Why the Kavanaugh Vote Should Be Delayed

Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh has been accused of sexual assault, just before a vote for his confirmation was to take place on Thursday, September 20. In their haste to confirm a Supreme Court justice who would support their agenda, however, most Republican federal lawmakers are willing to diminish the gravity of the accusations against Kavanaugh. After all, having Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court would create a conservative majority on the court – a Republican dream come true.

Democrats, a few key Republicans, and even White House Counselor Kellyanne Conway, want to give Kavanaugh’s accuser, Christine Blasey Ford, a chance to be heard before a vote is cast for Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation. Among the Republican Senators who oppose an immediate vote are Lindsey Graham of North Carolina, Jeff Flake of Arizona, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, and Susan Collins of Maine.

Besides the obvious and grave importance of taking allegations of sexual assault seriously and giving both sides a chance to be heard in court, there are several other reasons why it’s important to delay the vote on Kavanaugh’s nomination until both Ford and Kavanaugh testify before the Senate Judiciary Committee.

First is the attention the #MeToo movement has brought to sexual assault and sexual misconduct by powerful men (and how they’ve gotten away with it in the past). If Republicans were to ignore or downplay the allegations against Brett Kavanaugh, it would surely cost them votes in the November elections.

As CNN’s Stephen Collinson writes, “The spectacle of white, middle-aged or elderly men on the GOP bench voting to confirm Kavanaugh in the committee could prove a damaging image in districts that could turn on a younger, more diverse electorate.”

Second, a Supreme Court Justice appointment is for life – it’s not the same as a summer job at the Dairy Queen. An ice cream stand employee may be hired quickly, likely won’t undergo an extensive background check, and can be fired at will. Dairy Queen can afford to take a chance on the employee.

The U.S. cannot afford to take such a chance on an employee who is appointed for life. A Supreme Court justice can have a huge impact on the direction of our country. That impact can last indefinitely, as could his or her position on the Supreme Court. Thorough scrutiny is imperative, and more so in the face of allegations  of wrongdoing.

Failure to thoroughly vet Brett Kavanaugh in favor of quickly pushing him through the appointment process could backfire for Republicans. Trying to force their agenda by downplaying the accusations against him could be a short-term win for the Republicans, but could cost them votes in November. It may cost them votes, even at this point, however, if they continue to speak out against allowing Kavanaugh’s accuser to share her story.

New Kavanaugh hearing to address allegations | Fox Business [2018-09-17]

Full Duckworth: Senate Has To ‘Set An Example’ By Taking Kavanaugh Allegations | MTP Daily | MSNBC  [2018-09-17]

Some Still Believe Trump’s Falsehoods

Recent polls indicate a steady decline in the percentage of Americans who believe Donald Trump’s constant flow of falsehoods. (According to The Washington Post’s ongoing tally, Trump made 4,713 false or misleading statements in his first 592 days in office.) The most recent CNN poll conducted by SSRS shows that Trump’s credibility rating is at an all-time low, with only 32 percent of respondents in a random sampling saying that they see Trump as honest and trustworthy—that is, they believe him when he spouts those falsehoods.

The same poll asked respondents to compare Trump with “most other politicians in Washington” on these factors: honesty, intelligence, corruptness, and being “in touch” (presumably with what’s actually going on outside Trump’s own mind). Donald Trump was on the lower end of each of these comparisons. Regarding honesty, 45 percent feel that Trump is less honest than most other Washington politicians. 47 percent view Trump as less intelligent, 41 percent see him as more corrupt, and 47 percent say Trump is less “in touch.” On the other hand, 27 percent say that Trump is more honest, as well as less corrupt, 28 percent say that he is more “in touch,” and 22 percent say that Donald Trump is more intelligent than other politicians in Washington.

So, what about that 32 percent who still see Donald Trump’s falsehoods as truths (27 percent of whom said he is more honest as well as less corrupt than most other Washington politicians)? How is it that, even in the face of blatant falsehoods (also known as lies), even this small percentage of people continue to put their trust in the veracity of what Donald Trump says and does?

A plausible explanation might be what Michael Shermer proposes in his 2011 book, The Believing Brain:

“Simply put, beliefs come first and explanations for beliefs follow. The brain…is a belief engine. Using sensory data that flow in through the senses, the brain naturally begins to look for and find patterns, and then infuses those patterns with meaning, forming beliefs. Once beliefs are formed, the brain begins to look for and find confirmatory evidence in support of those beliefs, accelerating the process of reinforcing them, and round and round the process goes in a positive-feedback loop.”

In other words, once we form a belief, we continue to look for “evidence” that supports that belief. And to reinforce the “truth” of that belief, we reject data that contradicts the validity of that belief.

This could explain why, even when presented with evidence of corruptness and exposure of falsehood, supporters of Donald Trump continue to support him, no matter what. All humans, as a matter of fact, tend to nourish the foundation of their beliefs in this way, rejecting anything that contradicts them.

One would hope, though, that most of us, at least when confronted with evidence of someone’s dishonesty, corruptness, and lack of integrity, might find it logical to change our minds about that person. Trump supporters, however, go one step further in rejecting contradicting evidence. They reject even the notion that Donald Trump’s falsehoods are, in fact, falsehoods. This allows them to pinch off their receptiveness to even obvious, proven facts when those facts contradict what Trump has said, thus stopping even a trickle of truth before it threatens them.

Donald Trump’s supporters ignore his many, many falsehoods because they have perhaps arrived at the point where they are unable to recognize them as such. Or, if they recognize his statements as false or misleading, they easily explain them away. Or, if they can’t, they find a way to simply dismiss them. Trump supporters feel that they have found someone who represents them – who “has their backs,” however far from reality that idea is. So, despite Trump’s (now more than) 4,713 falsehoods, they will do whatever it takes to support their belief in him.

Unraveling President Trump’s top 5 claims | Fact Checker
Washington Post  [2018-09-04]

Despite Scandals, Trump Supporters Remain Committed | VOA News [2018-09-10]