From NATO Antics to a Pelosi Rebuff: Highlights of This Week

As of this post, only 332 days remain until the 2020 Election. Almost certainly, the days and weeks leading up to it will be filled with eyebrow-raisers that far overshadow the fundraisers. Here are just a few of the events that happened this week.

On Monday, in retaliation against France’s new digital services tax, the Trump Administration announced a proposal to levy tariffs on up to $2.4 billion worth of French imports. The French tax is aimed at preventing tech giants from avoiding taxes when they place their headquarters in low-tax countries in Europe. It would impact companies whose yearly global sales exceed 750 million Euros ($830 million) and French earnings over 25 million Euros. Such American companies as Facebook, Google, and Amazon, would be affected, and the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative called it “discrimination” against American companies.

Trump also attended the NATO summit this week, and what stands out most, at least for Tuesday, is not the official discussions or negotiations, but an informal chat. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was caught on video mocking Trump in an exchange with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and French President Emmanuel Macron.

Later, during a press conference, Trudeau didn’t comment directly on whether he had mocked Trump, but tried to explain that he had been making a reference to the fact that “there was an unscheduled press conference (for Trump)” before his meeting with Trump.

Trump responded to Trudeau’s remarks about him with, “Well, he’s two faced.”

Also on Tuesday, Democratic presidential hopeful Senator Kamala Harris announced that she was ending her campaign for the 2020 election.

“I’m not a billionaire,” Harris said, explaining her decision to withdraw. “I can’t fund my own campaign. And as the campaign has gone on, it has become harder and harder to raise the money we need to compete. In good faith, I can’t tell you, my supporters and volunteers, that I have a path forward if I don’t believe I do.”

On Wednesday, the House Judiciary Committee held an 8 1/2-hour public hearing featuring three legal scholars and one Constitutional expert, each of whom provided testimony as to whether Trump committed bribery and other impeachable offenses by allegedly conditioning military aid to Ukraine, as well as a White House visit, on a public announcement by Ukraine’s new President, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, of investigations into Trump’s political rivals.

The three legal scholars, Stanford University professor Pamela S. Karlan, Harvard Law School professor Noah Feldman, and University of North Carolina law professor Michael Gerhardt, all chosen by Democrats, testified that, yes, Trump had committed impeachable offenses, and that he had obstructed Congress.

Constitutional expert Jonathan Turley, a George Washington University professor called by the GOP (though he noted that he had not voted for Trump), disagreed, saying that if impeachment were to take place in this case, it “would stand out among modern impeachments as the shortest proceeding, with the thinnest evidentiary record, and the narrowest grounds ever used to impeach a president.”

Gerhard, however, testified, “If what we’re talking about is not impeachable, then nothing is impeachable.”

On Thursday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced that House committee chairs will begin drafting articles of impeachment against President Trump.

“The president’s actions have seriously violated the Constitution, especially when he says and acts upon the belief, Article II says I can do whatever I want. No, his wrongdoing strikes at the very heart of our Constitution, a separation of powers, three co-equal branches, each a check and balance on the other,” said Pelosi.

Many believe that impeachment is almost certain, though a vote to remove Trump from office is unlikely in the Republican-led Senate.

Republicans hold that Democrats want to impeach Trump simply because they “hate” him. When asked by a journalist if she hated Trump, Nancy Pelosi responded, “As a Catholic I resent your using the word hate in a sentence that addresses me … So don’t mess with me when it comes to words like that.”

Trump calls Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau “two-faced” after NATO hot mic gaffe | CBS News [2019-12-04]

Rep. Biggs pushes back on Pelosi’s impeachment announcement |
Fox News [2019-12-05]

Quinnipiac Poll Shows Trump Trailing Top Democrats

The August national Quinnipiac University poll finds Donald Trump significantly behind his top five Democratic challengers. Former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump by the largest margin, 16 points. That is, 54 percent of registered voters say they would vote for Biden if the 2020 election were held today, while just 38 percent say they would vote for Trump. Every poll in this portion of the campaign cycle has found Joe Biden to be in the lead over Donald Trump.

Other top Democrats who are leading Trump are Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (53 percent said they would vote for Sanders, compared to 39 percent who said they would vote for Trump); Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (52 – 40 percent); California Sen. Kamala Harris (51 – 40 percent); and South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (49 – 40 percent).

According to Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Mary Snow, “In hypothetical matchups between President Trump and the top five Democratic presidential candidates, one key number is 40. It’s the ceiling of support for Trump, no matter the candidate. It hovers close to his job approval rating, which has stayed in a tight range since being elected.” 

At this point in past presidential campaigns, no incumbent U.S. president has ever polled as poorly against his potential challengers as Donald Trump. Historically, most incumbents were ahead by this time in the campaign, and most led their challengers by an average of 12 points. 

Says CNN’s Harry Enten, “…Trump’s worst poll against any of the top five Democrats at this point is 5 points worse than the worst poll for any incumbent since World War II against his eventual challenger. It’s 12 points worse against his most likely challenger, Biden.”

Trump’s approval rating has also been consistently lower than his disapproval rating. According to the Quinnipiac poll, 56 percent of voters said that they disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president; only 38 percent of those polled said they approved. 

“That lines up with what occurred in the 2018 midterms,” says CNN’s Enten. “Republican House candidates got the same share of the votes as Trump’s approval rating, 45 percent.”

Though it’s still early, the Quinnipiac poll, along with other polls, clearly shows us that if the 2020 presidential election were held today, most Americans would vote for a Democrat over Donald Trump.

Fox Poll: Trump Trails All of The Leading Democrats | Richard French Live [2019-08-20]

New poll shows several Democrats could beat Trump | CBS News
[2019-08-28]