Texas v. Azar: The End of the Affordable Care Act?

The attempts by Trump and his ilk to dismantle the Affordable Care Act (ACA, or “Obamacare”) continue, even as they are overshadowed by Congress’ impeachment inquiry. The next imminent threat to the Affordable Care Act may occur at some point in October, as judges in the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals rule on the Texas v. Azar lawsuit, argued in July.

Destroying the ACA was a hallmark and battle cry of Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign. On the day of Trump’s swearing in, he immediately signed an executive order “to waive, defer, grant exemptions from, or delay” portions of the Affordable Care Act. 

On December 15, 2018, a Texas federal district court judge found that the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which nullified the tax penalties associated with the individual mandate portion of the ACA, rendered the individual mandate unconstitutional. Consequently, since the individual mandate is an “essential” part of the ACA, the entire ACA was unconstitutional, the judge ruled.

The state of Texas, along with the other plaintiffs, argued that with the tax penalty removed, the zero dollar fine now outlined in the ACA is a “naked, penalty-free command to buy insurance,” explains Nicholas Bagley, professor of law at the University of Michigan.

“…Congress doesn’t have the power to adopt a freestanding mandate,” he says. “It just has the power to impose a tax.”

Therefore, plaintiffs argued, “The naked mandate that remains in the Affordable Care Act must be unconstitutional.”

The fact that only two of the three judges in the case (both Republican-appointed) asked any questions when hearing the case in July is thought to bode poorly for the future of the Affordable Care Act. 

“I think we should be prepared for the worst — the invalidation of all or a significant part of the Affordable Care Act,” says Bagley.

If this is true, it doesn’t mean that the ACA will be immediately invalid. It is still the law. 

However, says Sabrina Corlette, director of the Center on Health Insurance Reforms at Georgetown University, “If that decision comes out before or during open enrollment (November 1 through December 15), it could lead to a lot of consumer confusion about the security of their coverage and may actually discourage people from enrolling, which I think would be a bad thing.”

The case will almost certainly go to the Supreme Court if the 5th Circuit Court declares the Affordable Care Act invalid, however. 

Here are some  other ways the Trump administration has hacked away at the Affordable Care Act:

  • Ending cost-sharing reduction subsidies to insurersThese federal payments to insurers were meant to motivate insurers to participate in the ACA insurance exchanges, and help keep premiums down. The Trump administration abruptly stopped paying these in 2017. 
  • Allowing states to add “work requirements” to Medicaid. The ACA expanded Medicaid so that more individuals and families were eligible. Under Trump’s new rules, states may choose to require potential Medicaid beneficiaries to provide documentation that they either go to school or work, in order to receive benefits.
  • Expanding access to short-term “skinny plans.” Under the ACA, these low-cost, low-coverage plans were meant only as a “bridge” for those between jobs or in school. These plans don’t tend to cover ACA-mandated items such as pre-existing conditions or “essential health benefits.” What’s more, their extremely high deductibles could place their holders in financial difficulty should they become seriously ill.
  • Reducing funds to facilitate signup for healthcare.gov insurance plans. Under the ACA, Navigator programs and a marketing budget were created to help people figure out how to sign up for health insurance on the exchanges. Trump’s reductions in funding for these services is a passive way to make it more difficult for disadvantaged people to sign up for ACA plans.

Experts have warned that dismantling the Affordable Care Act will cause great damage throughout the U.S. health care system. It is the Affordable Care Act, for example, that protects people with pre-existing conditions from being uninsurable, and mandates that “essential health benefits” such as a basic check-up, maternity care, and prescription drugs, are covered. 

“The Affordable Care Act is now part of the plumbing of our nation’s health care system,” says Bagley. “Ripping it out would cause untold damage and would create a whole lot of uncertainty.”

Could Texas v. Azar End the ACA? — Christopher Holt | American Action Forum (AAF) [2019-05-20]

Chairman Scott: Texas v. Azar Decision is “Frivolous” | House Committee on Education and Labor [2019-01-09]

Democrats Seek Kavanaugh’s Impeachment Following New Reporting

Democrats are now seeking impeachment of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who was confirmed in 2018 despite multiple allegations of sexual misconduct. On Sunday, Democrats called for a new investigation following a recent New York Times piece by journalists Robin Pogrebin and Kate Kelly, who have been examining last year’s accusations against Kavanaugh while doing research for their forthcoming book, The Education of Brett Kavanaugh: An Investigation. 

In addition to Christine Blasey Ford, who testified that Kavanaugh had sexually assaulted her during high school, Deborah Ramirez, a Yale classmate of Kavanaugh’s, also accused Kavanaugh in 2018 of sexual assault. Ramirez alleged that while both were students at Yale, Kavanaugh exposed himself to her, and forced her to touch his penis as she tried to avoid him.

Ramirez did not testify in 2018, and even though she and her attorneys presented the FBI with 25 witnesses, the Justice Department did not follow up with any of them.

In 2018, Kavanaugh denied Ramirez’ allegation, saying that if it had taken place, it would have been the talk of the campus. Evidently, though, it was. 

Though Kavanaugh’s supporters claimed Ramirez’ accusation was uncorroborated, the New York Times reported: 

“At least seven people, including Ms. Ramirez’s mother, heard about the Yale incident long before Mr. Kavanaugh was a federal judge. Two of those people were classmates who learned of it just days after the party occurred, suggesting that it was discussed among students at the time.”

During their investigation, the two Times journalists detailed additional corroborations of Ramirez’ allegations, as well as turning up a witness with an additional allegation that is nearly identical to that of Ramirez.

According to the Times journalists, “A classmate (of Kavanaugh, Ramirez, and the newly revealed additional victim), Max Stier, saw Mr. Kavanaugh with his pants down at a different drunken dorm party, where friends pushed his penis into the hand of a female student. Mr. Stier, who runs a nonprofit organization in Washington, notified senators and the F.B.I. about this account, but the F.B.I. did not investigate and Mr. Stier has declined to discuss it publicly.” 

It should be noted that friends of this alleged victim say she does not remember the incident. Stier and others concede that that is often the case with events that take place when one is drunk. 

The Times journalists continue, “(We corroborated the story with two officials who have communicated with Mr. Stier.)”

Donald Trump continues to support Kavanaugh while blasting those calling for a new investigation: “Now the Radical Left Democrats and their Partner, the LameStream Media, are after Brett Kavanaugh again, talking loudly of their favorite word, impeachment,” Trump tweeted. “He is an innocent man who has been treated HORRIBLY. Such lies about him. They want to scare him into turning Liberal!”

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) tweeted, “Last year the Kavanaugh nomination was rammed through the Senate without a thorough examination of the allegations against him. Confirmation is not exoneration, and these newest revelations are disturbing. Like the man who appointed him, Kavanaugh should be impeached.”

Beto O’Rourke tweeted, “Yesterday, we learned of another accusation against Brett Kavanaugh—one we didn’t find out about before he was confirmed because the Senate forced the F.B.I. to rush its investigation to save his nomination. We know he lied under oath. He should be impeached.”

Multiple other Democrats have tweeted their support of impeachment for Kavanaugh. Though they must surely realize that the chances of impeaching Kavanaugh are slim to none, perhaps going on record in support of impeachment is enough of a message.

NYT reveals new Kavanaugh assault allegation | Newsy [09-15-2019]

Trump rips new claim against Kavanaugh | Fox News [2019-09-15]