Texas v. Azar: The End of the Affordable Care Act?

The attempts by Trump and his ilk to dismantle the Affordable Care Act (ACA, or “Obamacare”) continue, even as they are overshadowed by Congress’ impeachment inquiry. The next imminent threat to the Affordable Care Act may occur at some point in October, as judges in the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals rule on the Texas v. Azar lawsuit, argued in July.

Destroying the ACA was a hallmark and battle cry of Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign. On the day of Trump’s swearing in, he immediately signed an executive order “to waive, defer, grant exemptions from, or delay” portions of the Affordable Care Act. 

On December 15, 2018, a Texas federal district court judge found that the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which nullified the tax penalties associated with the individual mandate portion of the ACA, rendered the individual mandate unconstitutional. Consequently, since the individual mandate is an “essential” part of the ACA, the entire ACA was unconstitutional, the judge ruled.

The state of Texas, along with the other plaintiffs, argued that with the tax penalty removed, the zero dollar fine now outlined in the ACA is a “naked, penalty-free command to buy insurance,” explains Nicholas Bagley, professor of law at the University of Michigan.

“…Congress doesn’t have the power to adopt a freestanding mandate,” he says. “It just has the power to impose a tax.”

Therefore, plaintiffs argued, “The naked mandate that remains in the Affordable Care Act must be unconstitutional.”

The fact that only two of the three judges in the case (both Republican-appointed) asked any questions when hearing the case in July is thought to bode poorly for the future of the Affordable Care Act. 

“I think we should be prepared for the worst — the invalidation of all or a significant part of the Affordable Care Act,” says Bagley.

If this is true, it doesn’t mean that the ACA will be immediately invalid. It is still the law. 

However, says Sabrina Corlette, director of the Center on Health Insurance Reforms at Georgetown University, “If that decision comes out before or during open enrollment (November 1 through December 15), it could lead to a lot of consumer confusion about the security of their coverage and may actually discourage people from enrolling, which I think would be a bad thing.”

The case will almost certainly go to the Supreme Court if the 5th Circuit Court declares the Affordable Care Act invalid, however. 

Here are some  other ways the Trump administration has hacked away at the Affordable Care Act:

  • Ending cost-sharing reduction subsidies to insurersThese federal payments to insurers were meant to motivate insurers to participate in the ACA insurance exchanges, and help keep premiums down. The Trump administration abruptly stopped paying these in 2017. 
  • Allowing states to add “work requirements” to Medicaid. The ACA expanded Medicaid so that more individuals and families were eligible. Under Trump’s new rules, states may choose to require potential Medicaid beneficiaries to provide documentation that they either go to school or work, in order to receive benefits.
  • Expanding access to short-term “skinny plans.” Under the ACA, these low-cost, low-coverage plans were meant only as a “bridge” for those between jobs or in school. These plans don’t tend to cover ACA-mandated items such as pre-existing conditions or “essential health benefits.” What’s more, their extremely high deductibles could place their holders in financial difficulty should they become seriously ill.
  • Reducing funds to facilitate signup for healthcare.gov insurance plans. Under the ACA, Navigator programs and a marketing budget were created to help people figure out how to sign up for health insurance on the exchanges. Trump’s reductions in funding for these services is a passive way to make it more difficult for disadvantaged people to sign up for ACA plans.

Experts have warned that dismantling the Affordable Care Act will cause great damage throughout the U.S. health care system. It is the Affordable Care Act, for example, that protects people with pre-existing conditions from being uninsurable, and mandates that “essential health benefits” such as a basic check-up, maternity care, and prescription drugs, are covered. 

“The Affordable Care Act is now part of the plumbing of our nation’s health care system,” says Bagley. “Ripping it out would cause untold damage and would create a whole lot of uncertainty.”

Could Texas v. Azar End the ACA? — Christopher Holt | American Action Forum (AAF) [2019-05-20]

Chairman Scott: Texas v. Azar Decision is “Frivolous” | House Committee on Education and Labor [2019-01-09]

Despite Second Whistleblower, Republicans Remain Silent

As Donald Trump continues to try to undercut the credibility of the whistleblower who has been the catalyst of an impeachment inquiry against Trump, a second whistleblower has come forward. This second whistleblower reportedly has first-hand information that corroborates the initial whistleblower’s complaint.

Both whistleblowers’ complaints center on a phone call Donald Trump had with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy on July 25, during which Trump pressed Zelenskiy to conduct an investigation into political opponent Joe Biden, and Biden’s son, Hunter.

The goal of the subsequent impeachment inquiry is to investigate “the extent to which President Trump jeopardized national security by pressing Ukraine to interfere with our 2020 election and by withholding military assistance provided by Congress to help Ukraine counter Russian aggression, as well as any efforts to cover up these matters,” according to a letter signed by Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam B. Schiff (D-Calif.), Oversight Chairman Elijah E. Cummings (D-Md.) and Foreign Affairs Chairman Eliot L. Engel (D-N.Y.).

It is known that, shortly before his call with Zelenskiy, Trump told Mick Mulvaney, his acting chief of staff, to hold back almost $400 million in military aid for Ukraine.

Though the transcript of the call, as well as a set of text exchanges between several U.S. diplomats support the veracity of the whistleblowers’ complaints, Donald Trump (as well as most GOP lawmakers on his behalf, at this point) denies any wrongdoing.

On Saturday, Trump tweeted, ”The first so-called second hand information ‘Whistleblower’ got my phone conversation almost completely wrong, so now word is they are going to the bench and another ‘Whistleblower’ is coming in from the Deep State, also with second hand info… Meet with Shifty. Keep them coming!”

(“Shifty” refers to House representative Adam Schiff (D-Calif), who is House Intelligence Committee Chairman.)

Trump has been accused of not only of jeopardizing U.S. national security, but also of undermining the integrity of U.S. elections, violating campaign finance laws by soliciting foreign help, and obstruction of justice (by resisting congressional subpoenas).

Despite the fact that legal scholars, government officials, and many Republicans believe Trump has committed impeachable offenses, all Republican lawmakers but a handful, to date, have either remained silent or continued to excuse Trump. Those who have spoken out against Trump include Utah Senator Mitt Romney, Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse, and Texas Rep. Will Hurd are the exception.

Even Vice President Mike Pence, who in the past has held himself up as an emblem of integrity, is willing to overlook Trump’s lack of integrity, and even defend it: “I think the American people have a right to know if the vice president of the United States (referring to Biden) or his family profited from this position as vice president in the last administration.”

In a Washington Post op-ed, Max Boot writes, “Most Republicans… have too much self-respect to openly defend Trump — and too little courage to openly condemn him. So, for the most part, they fall silent. Or they assail Trump’s accusers rather than Trump.”

Trump continues along his usual M.O.: Commit wrongdoing; lie about having committed the wrongdoing; get caught in the lie and insist that the lie is the truth; get challenged some more about the lie, and publicly undercut the challengers. Finally, own up to the wrongdoing but insist that in this case, it wasn’t wrongdoing, then brazenly do it again.

Last week, Trump stood on the South Lawn of the White House and openly invited not only Ukraine, but also China, to investigate the Bidens. It seems Trump was correct when he said, in 2016, “I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose any voters.” Or, it seems, the souls of Republican lawmakers.

With two whistleblowers (and possibly more), a transcript of Trump’s phone call with Zelenskiy, and a stack of damning texts, where are the Republican lawmakers who claim to be such patriots?

Second whistleblower comes forward to support impeachment inquiry
CBS Evening News | 2019-10-06]

NYT reports there is a second whistleblower with ‘more direct information’ | Fox News [2019-10-5]